Where Is Information Technology Headed?
A. Three Directions of Computer Development
1. Miniaturization
2. Speed
3. Affordability
B. Three Directions of Communications Development
1. Connectivity
2. Interactivity
3. Multimedia
C. When Computers & Communications Combine
1. Convergence
2. Portability
3. Personalization
4. Information overload
D. “E” Also Stands for Ethics
1. Speed and scale
2. Unpredictability
3. Complexity
V. Onward: Are We Headed toward a Global Brain?
Lecture Notes
“Technology will provide no miracles that feel like miracles for long,” observes editor
and historian Frederick Allen. Adds science-fiction writer Bruce Sterling, “We should
never again feel all mind-boggled at anything that human beings create. No matter
how amazing some machine may seem, the odds are very high that we’ll outlive it.”
The personal computer is over two decades old. The Internet has been familiar to the
public for over 10 years. It has been more than five years since the nowcommonplace
“www” for World Wide Web began appearing in company ads. And, like
cars, elevators, air-conditioning, and television—all of which have wrought
tremendous changes on society and the landscape—they are rapidly achieving what
technology is supposed to do: become ordinary. They are becoming part of the
wallpaper of our lives, almost invisible.
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